Trail Blazers	Suns
Clingan u13.5 points  -115	Allen o2.5 rebounds  -105
Henderson o12.5 points  -112	Brooks u17.5 points  +100
Avdija u5.5 assists  -132	Booker u26.5 points  +107

Trail Blazers computer picks

Donovan Clingan Under 13.5 points (-115)

Projection: 11.5 points

Donovan Clingan’s scoring outlook is being slightly overvalued in this spot. In a Play-In environment, the Portland Trail Blazers are likely to lean more on their primary perimeter creators, limiting Clingan’s offensive volume.

With touches fluctuating and efficiency harder to come by in a tighter game, our model has him falling short of this number.

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Scoot Henderson Over 12.5 points (-112)

Projection: 14.6 points

Scoot Henderson is set up for a usage bump in a high-leverage game. With the ball in his hands more often and the pace still projected to be playable, his scoring opportunities should be there.

Our model sees a clear gap between the projection and the line, making this a strong Over spot.

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Deni Avdija Under 6.5 assists (-132)

Projection: 5.2 assists

Deni Avdija’s assist line is inflated relative to his expected role here. In a more controlled Play-In setting, secondary playmakers often see fewer clean-assist opportunities, especially when possessions slow down.

Our projection comes in well below this number, making the Under the sharper side.

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Suns computer picks

Grayson Allen Over 2.5 rebounds (-105)

Projection: 3.3 rebounds

Grayson Allen’s rebounding is being undervalued by the market. With the Phoenix Suns likely playing their core rotation heavier minutes, Allen should have plenty of opportunities to contribute on the glass.

This line sits well below his projected output.

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Dillon Brooks Under 17.5 points (+100)

Projection: 16.5 points

Dillon Brooks is always capable of putting up shots, but that doesn’t mean efficiency follows — especially in a high-pressure setting. 

With defensive attention tightening and better scoring options around him, our model projects him to fall short of this total, making the plus-money Under appealing.

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Devin Booker Under 26.5 points (+107)

Projection: 26.1 points

Devin Booker’s number is right on the edge, but the value leans Under. In a Play-In game, defensive focus ramps up on primary scorers, and efficiency often dips as a result.

With the line slightly above our projection, the Under is the sharper play.

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